Here are the predictions for Round 10. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

So far there have been 25 matches played, 19 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 76%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games. Here are the predictions for Round 6. The ...

So far there have been 38 matches played, 28 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 73.7%. Here are the predictions for last week’s games. Here are the predictions for Week 6. The ...

The basic method is described on my Department home page. Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

Here are the predictions for Round 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

The story admits that Lotto has stopped pretending ‘lucky’ stores exist: Certain Lotto stores have long been tipped as being “luckier” than others, although Lotto previously stopped promoting this in ...

Here are the predictions for Round 24. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.